Wednesday, September 14, 2016

L&T Technologies - Silver Lining amongst the gloom??

Another of L&T’s subsidiary opened its IPO yesterday. This time around its L&T Technologies going for an IPO, which opened yesterday and will close on 15-Sep-2016. The company being a fully owned subsidiary of L&T will offer 10.4 million shares on sale with a price range of INR850-INR860 per share. The issue will be ‘Offer of Sale’ by L&T. Shares can be applied in lots of 16 shares and the retail investors will be allotted 35% of the total issue. The company will not get any proceeds from the IPO as promoters are selling a stake from the company.


This company was incorporated only towards the end of 2013 even though it has existed for a long time before that. Prior to this incorporation, the company was part of L&T and L&T Infotech as 2 different divisions. Following the restructuring of the organization in 2013, they were merged as a single entity and the new company was incorporated. The company offers engineering R&D in the fields of manufacturing, technology and process engineering industries in the verticals of Transporation, Industrial Products, Telecom and Hi-tech, Processing Industry and Medical Devices. The first 2 verticals account for 55% of the total revenues.

Almost 95% of the revenues for 2016 for L&T Technologies are from repeat businesses (it was about 99% in 2015.) Top 20% of the customers account for about 54% of the company’s revenues whereas the company has more than 200 clients in its roster.

L&T Infotech’s consolidated financial performance (in INR Million)
Details
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Total revenue
NA
NA
NA
26438.00
31427.00
Operating Profit
NA
NA
NA
4239.00
5966.00
Net Profit
NA
NA
NA
3109.00
4166.00
Net Profit Margin
NA
NA
NA
11.70%
13.20%

Since the company was incorporated only in late 2013, there are no financial performances available prior to FY2015. Based on the last 2 years’ performance, the revenue has grown by about 19% while profits have grown by about 34% in FY 2016 compared to the previous year. The profit margin has also grown by 150 basis points to 13.20% in 2016. This is a definite plus. The company’s RONW is also high at 38.85% on par with Tata Elxsi. The company also has a very strong balance sheet (0.18% is the Debt-Equity Ratio).

The company’s business is dependent on North America and Europe with them contributing to 80% of the revenue especially with North America contributing 60% to the total revenues. This is definitely a concern as there are various risks associated with too much dependence on a single territory.

The company had a diluted EPS of Rs. 32.1 per share for the year ending March 2016 giving a PE (Price to Earnings) range of 26.8 higher spectrum of the issue price. There are 2 listed companies that operate in the same space as L&T Technologies, Cyient and Tata Elxsi. The former trades at a PE of 14.7 while latter trades at a PE of 37.8. L&T Technologies stands mid-way between the two.  


L&T technologies seem to have good robust growth story and engineering research as a business model seems to get strong as time goes by. That said, the current environment in India doesn’t distinguish this from the other IT services. Also, the overall IT climate seems to have a bearish outlook for the next couple of years. Considering all these factors, go for it if you are willing to take the risk of the listing at a discount else wait until it lists. I am willing to take this risk. :)

Friday, August 19, 2016

RBL Bank IPO - Getting higher credit...

RBL Bank (formerly called the Ratnakar Bank) is coming out with an IPO which opens on 19-Aug-16 and closes on 23-Aug-16. This is going to be the fourth IPO this year which aims to raise more than Rs 10 Billion at the markets. The issue hopes to collect Rs. 12.13 Billion through this issue which is priced at Rs. 224 – Rs. 225 per share. Of the 12.13 Billion that the issue will raise, Rs 3.81 Billion will go to the promoters as part of Offer to Sale while the company will raise Rs. 8.32 Billion. Shares can be applied in lots of 65 shares and its multiples. The retail investors will not get any discount in this issue though 35% of the issue is reserved for retail investors. The bank expects to use the proceeds to maintain the Capital Adequacy Ratio as required by RBI.

RBL Bank started in 1943 as a small regional bank with branches in Sangli and Kohlapur. It continued to be a small bank until 2010 when the current management took over. The current management, professionally managed with Vishwavir Ahuja at the helm, needs to be credited for bringing the transformation in the last 6 years. It moved away from being a small player in Maharashtra to being a mid-sized bank primarily focusing on micro financing. It also acquired the retail operations of Royal Bank of Scotland in 2014. RBL Bank also offers one of the highest interest rates on deposits and uses the money to acquire some stake in some of the best micro finance lenders.

While we look at the financial performance of the company, the interest income has grown at a CAGR of 47% and other income has grown at a CAGR of 57% between FY2012 and FY2016. The profits have also grown at a CAGR of 46% in the same period. The margins have been consistent around the 9% mark though it was at 12% in the year 2012. For the year ending March 2016, the Gross NPA of the bank stands at 0.98% and its Net NPA stands at 0.59%. This is exceptional especially considering the rapid increase in the NPA numbers for other banks.

RBL Bank’s financial performance (in INR Millions)
Details
FY2012
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
Total revenue
5322
10057
16125
23564
32348
Total expenses
4182
8461
14338
19963
26924
Profit after tax
651
928
926
2071
2924
Net profit margin (%)
12.2%
9.20%
5.70%
8.80%
9.0%

The company’s RONW (Return on Net Worth) has also more than doubled in the 2 years from 2014. It now stands at 9.79% in 2016 compared to 4.60% in 2014. The company’s ROA (Return on Asset) (which is the best indicator to assess the returns for a banking institution) has also increased from 0.66% in 2014 to 0.98% in 2016.

The company had a consolidated diluted EPS of Rs. 9.43 per share for the year ending March 2016 giving a PE (Price to Earnings) range of 23.75 and 23.86 at the lower and higher spectrum of the issue price. Considering that RBL Bank is a mid-sized private bank, it would be fair to compare their valuation ratios with other listed mid-sized private banks. The table below provides details on the valuation ratios for RBL’s peers:

Banks
FY 2016
PE Ratio
P/BV Ratio
RoNW
RBL Bank
23.9
2.4
9.80%
Yes Bank
19.6
3.6
18.40%
Indusind Bank
29.1
4.0
13.20%
Kotak Mahindra Bank
40.4
4.2
10.40%
City Union Bank
16.9
2.5
14.60%
DCB Bank
14.7
1.6
11.20%

Compared to its peers, RBL’s RoNW is the lowest but is expected to improve in the years to come given the rate at which they are growing. The PE ratio is a tad higher than a few banks while it’s far lower than a couple of others. The higher PE ratio is justifiable because of the quality of the assets and low NPAs. Only DCB Bank has a lower P/BV ratio than RBL Bank. Another reason that makes RBL attractive.


Subscribe to the issue if you are looking at a long term investment for there might not be a lot of listing gains to be made from the issue. I am definitely investing in this issue.

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Advanced Enzyme - Will this enzyme accelerate?

When it rains, they say it pours. That is what is happening in the IPO market right now - It is pouring IPOs! It is now the turn of Advanced Enzyme Technologies Ltd, one of the top 15 companies globally in enzyme production.

Advanced Enzyme Technologies Ltd. has opened its IPO today and will close on 22-Jul-2016. The IPO is priced in the range of INR 880-896 per share. The issue will primarily be an Offer of Sale by existing shareholders with the company also looking at raising INR 500 Million. Shares can be applied in lots of 16 shares and its multiples. The retail investors will not be get any discount in this issue while the qualified employees getting a discount of INR 88 per share. The icing on the cake for the retail investors is that they are going to be allotted 35% of the total issue. The company will issue a total of 4.034 Million shares. As mentioned earlier, most of the proceeds will go to the existing shareholders. With the INR 500 Million that the company is raising, it intends to retire some of the debt of its subsidiary in the US.

Advanced Enzyme is India’s biggest enzyme company. It is engaged in the R&D, manufacturing and marketing of over 400 proprietary products developed from 60 indigenous enzymes. In the domestic market, it has the second highest market share behind Novozymes which is the global leader in this business. The company operates in 2 major segments:

  1. Healthcare and Nutrition – This business accounts for nearly 88% of the revenues for Advanced Enzyme;
  2. Bio Processing – This business accounts for 12% of the revenues for the company.


None of the competitors of Advanced Enzyme are listed in India. We will have to look for its global peers while we review their valuation a little later in this post. 

One of the biggest positives is the financial performance of the company. The revenue has grown at a CAGR of 14% in the 4 years from 2012 to 2016. The margins have also been increasing over the same period. For the year ending March 2016, the EBITDA margin stands at 47% and Net Profit margin stands at 26.6%. The net profit has grown at a CAGR of 24% in the same period and margin has increased by 750 basis points in the 4 years.

Advanced Enzyme’s consolidated financial performance (in INR Millions)
Details
FY2012
FY2013
FY2014
FY2015
FY2016
Total revenue
1748
2241
2405
2243
2946
Total expenses
1272
1479
1587
1505
1721
EBITDA

895
1037
908.6
1382
EBITDA margin (%)

40.60%
43.30%
40.70%
47.10%
Profit after tax
333
492
201
501
784
Net profit margin (%)
19.10%
22.00%
8.40%
22.30%
26.60%

The company has been able to increase their margin levels by consciously reducing their long term debt levels which stood at INR 1.39 Billion. As of 31-Mar-2016, the company’s long term debt stands at INR 387.5 Million (expected to reduce further with the proceeds from this issue). This results in a debt-equity ratio of 0.26. This has resulted in the company’s RONW (Return on Net Worth) doubling in the 2 years from 2014. It now stands at 28% in 2016 compared to 12% in 2014.

The company had a consolidated diluted EPS of Rs. 36.03 per share for the year ending March 2016 giving a PE (Price to Earnings) range of 24.40 and 24.90 at the lower and higher spectrum of the issue price. As mentioned earlier, AETL doesn’t have a listed peer to compare if this valuation is rightly priced or not. We will need look at their global peers like Novozyme and Koninklijke DSM NV. Both these companies are trading at PE of 35.5 and 46 respectively. Considering these ratios, there is an upward premium in the range of 46% and 85%.

Considering that AETL operates in an industry with high entry barriers and the producers enjoy the power to set prices plus the fact that the company has a diverse set of customers including Sanofi India, Cipla, Ipca Labs, Alkem labs with the top 10 customers accounting for 44% of revenues and only 36% of the revenues coming from India, this is a good company to invest in. Whether you want to exit with some listing gains or hold on to it for long term, is your choice. J

Friday, July 08, 2016

L&T Infotech - Giant in the making?

A big IPO is opening next week. L & T Infotech is coming up with its IPO to raise about INR 12,425 Million. This will be through an Offer of Sale by the promoters to the tune of 17.50 Million shares at a price range of INR 705-INR710. The IPO will be open from 11-Jul-2016 to 13-Jul-2016. Shares can be applied in lots of 20 shares and the retail investors will be allotted 35% of the total issue. The company will not get any proceeds from the IPO as promoters are selling a stake from the company.

The company offers a suite of business solutions including technology consulting, enterprise solutions, systems integration, custom application development, application maintenance and production support amongst others. The company is also working with its customers to develop capabilities in emerging technologies. This accounts for about 11% of the company’s revenue. Application development, maintenance and outsourcing accounts for nearly 42% of the revenue followed by enterprise solutions which accounts for 24%.

From a sectoral perspective, BFSI sector accounts for nearly 47.50% of the revenues while Energy and processes account for nearly 13% of the revenues with the other sectors taking the rest of the share of revenue. L&T Infotech’s revenues are very concentrated geographically with the US accounting for 66.80% of the revenues with Europe accounting for 17.40% of the revenues. That said, Brexit doesn’t have an impact on the company as the Nordic countries account for 11% of the 17% of the revenues from Europe.

L&T Infotech’s consolidated financial performance (in INR Million)
Details
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
Total revenue
31,915.00
38,735.00
48,371.00
50,695.00
61,430.00
Total expenses
24,922.00
29,809.00
37,732.00
39,735.00
48,114.00
Net Profit
4,193.00
5,100.00
6,598.00
7,600.00
9,223.00
Net Profit Margin
13.14%
13.17%
13.64%
14.99%
15.01%

The revenues have been growing at a CAGR of about 18% in the four years between 2012 and 2016. The profits, however, grew at higher rate of 22% in the same period. Also, the net profit margin has been consistent at 15% in the last couple of years, up by a couple of hundred basis points. The company’s RONW is also very high at 45% even beating the Jambhavaans of the industry like TCS and Infy. The company also has a very strong balance sheet (hardly any debt).

L&T Infotech’s business thrives on customer retention and repeat business from its clients. This could prove to be quite risky especially when the top 10 clients contribute to nearly 53% of the total revenue of the company with specifically Citi contributing to nearly 15% of the company’s revenue.  This could turn tricky. One good thing for the company is that it’s parent company Larsen & Tourbo has global operations and helps the company get long term contracts at good rates to ensure the growth continues.

The company had a diluted EPS of Rs. 56.13 per share for the year ending March 2016 giving a PE (Price to Earnings) range of 12.64 higher spectrum of the issue price. The company has provided a INR 10 discount for retail customers which makes the PE 12.47 for the retail customers. NASSCOM has ranked L&T Infotech as the 6th largest exporter of IT Services and hence comparable to the likes of HCL Technologies, Wipro and Tech Mahindra. All these companies enjoy a PE of 15 and above based on their March 2016 earnings. It is also worth noting that these companies have a far less RONW (20%-30%) than L&T Infotech (45%).

Considering the robust growth and good margins, L&T Infotech is a sure pick. Whether one wants to enjoy a quick listing gain or want to hold it long term is a personal choice.  Either way, go for it.